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It
was Friday October 6 (2000). I am usually at my trading desk for the London
Stockmarket's opening bell at 8am, but what was not usual was that in
addition to oversleeping I do not trade on Fridays, because they are notoriously
difficult for making a profit, as end of week chaos feeds into intra day
movements on the Ftse 100 Future, the main target of my trading day, and
the bread and butter of my living.
First
thing in the morning I stare at my futures screen which is composed of
live bar charts, with contract volumes, for several time frames, ranging
from 2 minutes to 10 minutes, from which I endeavour to use my method
to read the motion and the mood of the day in hand only, as I am not interested
in what might happen tomorrow or the next day.
The
first thing to be done was to interpret where the day before finished,
to heed the main market trend, if any, then to read the opening bars of
the morning and calculate where the market should go in the next hour
or so. Although late to my screen that morning I decided the market price
would now rise to 6450, and had already decided what to do when it got
there, which was to short sell the market with however many contracts
my money management system dictated, in my belief that it would then come
down sharply, and I would buy the market back later at a lower price,
leaving me with all my positions closed for the day.
I
always trade smaller than I am allowed, not larger, I do not aim for the
sky in any single trade, I aim essentially for a salary, and the money
I make over that is either moved over into my share trading, or else goes
towards my project development. I do not use investment compounding techniques,
so I can never be wiped out overall.
I
did NOT (and never do) trade the first move of the day, despite the loss
of that trading opportunity, because it is a part of my daily strategy
to make that first prediction correctly to confirm that I am reading the
market well on the day, but if I get it wrong, the opposite view prevails,
and I do no trade the future at all on that day but instead move across
to my other screens either for share trading or writing work instead.
Psychologically
I had to overcome the negative effects of the previous afternoon's debacle
when I had closed my trade and got filled 23 points lower than what was
on my screen. To my horror there was a fault in my datafeed and the charts
I was trading from were being produced 52 minutes out of date!
Yes,
indeed, I had not made the bundle I thought I had (but still made a profit).
I turn off the datafeed news and information service (which would have
alerted me to the technical fault) as I follow only my charts and
my method, I do not want my psychology to be influenced by what anybody
else thinks.
Sure
enough, by 1245hrs as expected, the market rose to 6449, but as I went
to place my short sell orders it quickly fell 10 points and was faster
that I was. I got filled by 1246 at 6444.25, the market then bounced back
up to 6465 in a flash. Theoretically, I was now 16 points (per contract)
the wrong way in the blinking of an eye. Nonetheless, I knew that I could
afford any loss which did ensue, because I had already pre-decided my
pain threshold and would have had no hesitation in taking a hit on the
nose if I felt the market was going too far the wrong way (the first cut
is the cheapest).
Normally
I am in and out of a trade quickly, but remember I don't usually trade
Fridays, and today felt odd because the market seemed to become frozen
in time at 6465-7. I wondered if the datafeed was dying again, so I phoned
some city trader pals to check the numbers on their screens, but all was
well. I was comfortable but sitting in the trade longer than usual and
needing to find extra patience because I knew that if I left my desk for
even just minutes to go to the toilet, I could return to find myself losing
thousands of pounds. For each point the wrong way was £10 per contract
I would have to cough up.
The
red phone rang, only other traders know that number, I do not take personal
calls when I am trading, the street could be on fire for all I care -
nothing must interupt me, for I know that concentration, familiarity,
method and technique are the only secrets of my success, and one broken
link makes the house fall down. Anyway it was Bob, a Trader, asking my
view. I explained I was short the market, expecting an imminent downward
move, but that I had not got in at the best price. He said, "goodness,
I think you've got it wrong anyway Rich - we're all long up here waiting
for a shoot up." I replied "well you know me, I follow
my method to the exclusion of all other voices, save perhaps for an announcement
of a nuclear strike on the stock exchange, I'm staying short. I'm very
bearish this month." In my mind I realised that I am not always
right, I have losing days too, but I know at the end of most months there
is more profit than loss, so I am cool. I could probably always be of
more help to another trader who loses all the time than I could to one
who only loses half the time, why? Well simple really, because the one
who loses all the time has something the other trader does not - consistency!
By identifying that consistency, and reversing the element causing the
losses, he or she can simply be turned the other way, quite quickly.
I
waited and waited and watched and watched, I am used to everything moving
at lightening speed, my psychology is trained and tuned to things being
that way but, like the sportsman, sometimes you have to change your pace
to suit the way the opponent plays his game. Trading is like a boxing
match, it's you versus the market, you can win on points but when the
market wins it's always by a knockout.
I
was getting bored, but no sitting back with a G & T for me, and I
could never get "depressed", after all, I am doing what I love
to do, analyse and trade, and it pays me too. What more could I ask? There
is a local Hospice which takes care of terminally ill children, and I
go there to remind myself of how lucky I am, I go there when I have made
more money than I need, I go there to be reminded that God has given me
a gift to analyse and trade and write, and he didn't give it to me to
wallow in wealth and selfishness. Anyway, I stayed glued to the screen,
even the slightest half point change was something I could feel move through
my soul, yes inded I knew I was one with the motion of the market, I could
feel its heart beating and I felt that the upward price move would soon
collapse. Of course if I was wrong, I knew there would be no vegetarian
chicken for me that night but, like a squirrel in winter, I've got a pile
stored up in the freezer in case of a bad patch.
By
1520hrs I was missing lunch and reminding myself why I don't trade Fridays,
the suspense was intensifying, calls were coming in with a rumour about
this and that. I didn't even listen, I never do, my charts and my methods
are my friends and they will take care of me.
1530hrs
- BANG, it happened faster than I could turn a tap on, the price dropped
like a bomb in the sky, down down and down, 30 points in the next 10 minutes
to 6430, then another 22 points in the next 10 minutes to 6408, a rally
was attempted, I consulted my method, no it was not time yet. Down next
to 6400, I knew this was a psychological zone of support level, but I
was getting ready. Then 6398, thank you, that'll do for me.
I
closed my positions with lightening speed and got filled by 1650hrs at
6396. In a market which to Joe Public was to hardly move from the close
of the previous day to the close of this one (9 points) I had taken 48.25
points out of its futures market (at £10 a point per contract).
I switched off my screens, satisfied that the psychological warfare of
that day had been won, but I was exhausted and feeling dizzy from the
concentration I had to give, and I was annoyed with myself that instead
of the usual 20 minutes of actually being in a trade it had this day taken
244 minutes to make my month' s salary, and if I done this when the TV
Crew were here they'd have stoned me as either a blag man or a failure.
Whatever time of day it is, once there are four figures in my bag, I trade
no more that day, for greed is the shortcut to the traders' graveyard.
To
the Investor, the effort of the day represented a 32% return on actual
capital employed in that trade itself, but percentages don't mean much
to me in this game, the only number I looked at was total of pounds and
pence and whether it was enough to replace a salary, again, and it was,
and so my goal was reached.
Though
my trades do not usually take long, the hours I put in to study and method
are many. When other "normal" people are relaxing, I am usually
to be found at all hours n front of my screens analysing, searching, measuring,
calculating, thinking and deciding how to organise my share trading campaigns
and improve my emotional control and intra day timing in fast moving futures
conditions. I will typically analyse around 400 share charts and come
up with say 12 shares for going up and say 6 for coming down, and I will
apply method to whittle this number down to a lower manageable level.
The isolation and lonesomeness of the task is deep, there will be no one
to save my ass if I mess up, there is no sick pay scheme for me, but I
love being a Trader and this my motive. Money does not interest me beyond
my most basic needs and important responsibilities, I trade because I
love to, and being able to earn my living from it and not have to be employed
in a job I don't want and don't feel good about, yes indeed, every day
like this is another happy day for me.
The
above account of one trading day in my life is accurate and truthful,
although there has not been enough space here to tell you of my adventures
in shares, and not every day is profitable, but that doesn't matter to
me, as long as each month is a good amount of net profit and I can repeat
it most months, and year in and year out. However, it has taken me years
to develop the method and self discipline to do this consistently and
repetitively, so nobody out there who reads this should give up their
day job to attempt it without first undertaking rigorous training or self
development, unless you want to lose all your money and fail, or are prepared
to fail and then bounce back. Nobody should have "making fortunes"
on their mind for that is the wrong mindset to become a trader, and everybody
needs to learn the difference between trading and investment. Personally,
I don't know anything useful about investment, other than to pick my entry
and exit points from a chart. I only know about trading for a living,
and financial analysis of course. Trading works very well for the person
who is willing to work hard at learning how to do it properly, but is
too dangerous for anyone who is not.
Anyway,
I hope this account has given some of you a small but informative insight
into part of a working day for a full time trader, and helps you in some
small way, if only to put you off!

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